It’s that time of year when inboxes get flooded with 2019 economic and financial market forecasts. As the CFA institute points out, at the beginning of 2018 the median analyst forecast for the S&P 500 calendar year return was +10.3%. The actual result ended up being -6.2%.
The China economic slowdown story had been building behind the scenes long before markets decided to focus on trade hostilities with the US.
Recently in the AFR, Tamar Hamlyn discusses how the past weeks and months have seen financial markets approaching the year-end period with decidedly less lustre than investors might like.
We’re normally circumspect about the “EM contagion” narrative as it usually ends up being more headline noise than substance, but this time we’re paying closer attention
Watch this Livewire video to learn more about the Real Outcome Fund and the team’s investment process.
For the first time in recent history there are now more job openings than job seekers
We’ve been noticing early warning indicators of China risk flaring up and those risks have now become real.
We discuss the surge in performance of UK inflation linked bonds and the benefit to Australian investors.
Tamar Hamlyn shares his observations of global macroeconomic policy following a study tour across the US, EU, UK, China and Japan.
Our view on the volatility since the Election result, however overall these events are favourable for markets and good for investors.