Ghosting in the US job market
We’ve covered US wage growth and the resulting upside risk to inflation in a number of prior commentaries and now see more leading indicators suggesting that theme is accelerating.
Market Insights
Low yields + rising volatility = a toxic combination for bonds
Recent volatility in Japanese government bonds (JGB) highlights the fact that government bonds aren’t so ‘safe’ when yields are very low.
Bank Bill Swap Rate – June update
Tamar Hamlyn discusses rising bank bill rates as an indicator of liquidity pressures.
Australian Rate Hike Expectations Collapse
The RBA has been signalling for some time now that the next move in rates, when it eventually comes, will be up rather than down.
Investment Grade Credit Relative Value
Investment grade (IG) credit has been one of the worst performing asset classes so far this year, and its largest segment – USD IG credit – has been the worst hit.
Markets wake up to China risk
We’ve been noticing early warning indicators of China risk flaring up and those risks have now become real.
Livewire Exclusive – 2018’s most crowded trade
Tamar Hamlyn discusses inflation with Livewire and if this is about to change.
Early Warning Indicators
Continuing the theme of tightening liquidity, Italian govt. bond markets are noteworthy as an early warning indicator.
Bond issuance to underpin rising market opportunities
Following the budget announcement, we discuss why the current environment places Ardea IM well to continue to identify and exploit inefficiencies in fixed income markets to generate positive investment outcomes for our investors.
QE winners become QT losers
We’ve noted previously that the transition from Quantitative Easing (QE) to Quantitative Tightening (QT) is one of the two important paradigm shifts currently taking place in markets.