Negative interest rates … the abnormal becomes ‘normal’
Hedonic adaptation is a psychology term that describes the human tendency of reverting to a relatively stable or ‘normal’ state following either positive or negative life changes.
Hedonic adaptation is a psychology term that describes the human tendency of reverting to a relatively stable or ‘normal’ state following either positive or negative life changes.
And it’s what’s driving the disconnect between bond and equity performance in 2019.
Despite bond yields in many markets getting vanishingly low, inflows to bond funds globally have actually accelerated this year.
Recent inflation readings in Australia and the US have reinforced the strong consensus view that inflation will remain very low for a long time.
Finance text books, reams of academic research and practitioner experience all point to the existence of a “volatility risk premium” (VRP), which is a foundational principal of option selling strategies.
The managed fund research company Morningstar recently announced they are splitting their ‘intermediate term bond’ category into two new categories – ‘intermediate core bond’ and ‘intermediate core plus’ bond.
With global bond yields back near the low end of recent ranges, it’s an opportune time to revisit a theme that’s relevant to portfolio construction today – the bond vs. equity correlation.
With yield chasing capital flooding back into credit markets and pushing up bond prices, the behaviour of corporate bonds is changing.
Everyone has an opinion but does anyone really know?
The Hive is a video series featuring ActiveX fund managers. ActiveX’s Sam Morris and Ardea IM discuss the latest trends in fixed income and what investors should be considering.