Thinking uncertainly vs thinking volatility. These two market views are creating something of a conundrum in interest rate markets at the moment.
APRA yesterday announced a series of new measures aimed at reinforcing sound lending practices by financial institutions in Australia.
In recent months macroprudential measures have increasingly been under discussion in Australia. The Reserve Bank of Australia and other regulators now appear open to the adoption of such tools.
Increasing issuance of inflation linked bonds in New Zealand has resulted in a NZD 14 billion market, accounting for close to 20% of the NZ government bond market. NZ ILBs offer an attractive real yield and a low entry point for breakeven inflation.
Over the first half of 2014 financial markets experienced a significant decline in bond yields, with a correspondingly strong period of performance.
Following recent upside surprises in inflation, and the move to a neutral stance by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), we highlight the likely implications for returns on nominal and inflation protected fixed income portfolios.