Monthly Market Musings: Geopolitical volatility and stagflation fears

  • We outline some broad implications of the Russia/Ukraine crisis for global rates markets: risk aversion, trade links, inflation dynamics and money market funding spreads.
  • Surging commodity prices and risk-off sentiment are adding to market concerns over inflation and stagflation risks, particularly in Europe.
  • Central banks are continuing on policy tightening paths, despite new uncertainties.