With global bond yields back near the low end of recent ranges, it’s an opportune time to revisit a theme that’s relevant to portfolio construction today – the bond vs. equity correlation.
With yield chasing capital flooding back into credit markets and pushing up bond prices, the behaviour of corporate bonds is changing.
Conventional thinking about bond-equity relationships currently poses a paradox – the resolution to this seeming paradox is the changing bond-equity correlation.
Last week bond yields globally dropped to the low end of recent ranges and reached new record low levels in Australia, Ardea discuss what investors should think about.
One way to profit from interest rate volatility is to get directional calls right, ahead of a large move in rates. Sadly, we have yet to come across anyone who has been able to consistently get these directional calls right.
In this Nestegg podcast, Gopi Karunakaran speaks with host David Stratford about the current spotlight on the fixed income markets and the importance of a balanced portfolio.
After fears of rising interest rates and bond market volatility rocked global markets last year, the consensus is now swinging back to the low economic growth / low interest rates narrative.
Sometimes opportunities arise because market participants cause pricing in a particular segment of the market to become highly skewed in one direction.
It’s that time of year when inboxes get flooded with 2019 economic and financial market forecasts. As the CFA institute points out, at the beginning of 2018 the median analyst forecast for the S&P 500 calendar year return was +10.3%. The actual result ended up being -6.2%.
A primary focus for global financial markets in Q4 2018 was the growing fear that the FED has tightened monetary policy too far, too fast and risks tipping the US economy into recession. This culminated in a severe global equity sell-off, which accelerated after the December FED meeting.