Bonds don’t always diversify equity risk
With global bond yields back near the low end of recent ranges, it’s an opportune time to revisit a theme that’s relevant to portfolio construction today – the bond vs. equity correlation.
Low yields increase the equity beta of credit investments
With yield chasing capital flooding back into credit markets and pushing up bond prices, the behaviour of corporate bonds is changing.
Positive asset correlations and inflation assumptions
Conventional thinking about bond-equity relationships currently poses a paradox – the resolution to this seeming paradox is the changing bond-equity correlation.
Duration is now an expensive insurance policy
Last week bond yields globally dropped to the low end of recent ranges and reached new record low levels in Australia, Ardea discuss what investors should think about.
How to profit from interest rate volatility
One way to profit from interest rate volatility is to get directional calls right, ahead of a large move in rates. Sadly, we have yet to come across anyone who has been able to consistently get these directional calls right.
Nestegg podcast – Just how defensive is your portfolio really?
In this Nestegg podcast, Gopi Karunakaran speaks with host David Stratford about the current spotlight on the fixed income markets and the importance of a balanced portfolio.
Slow growth and low interest rates have become the consensus view
After fears of rising interest rates and bond market volatility rocked global markets last year, the consensus is now swinging back to the low economic growth / low interest rates narrative.
The forecasting crowd creates great opportunities for others
Sometimes opportunities arise because market participants cause pricing in a particular segment of the market to become highly skewed in one direction.
Why do you pay attention to financial forecasts?
It’s that time of year when inboxes get flooded with 2019 economic and financial market forecasts. As the CFA institute points out, at the beginning of 2018 the median analyst forecast for the S&P 500 calendar year return was +10.3%. The actual result ended up being -6.2%.
The central bank bar tab
A primary focus for global financial markets in Q4 2018 was the growing fear that the FED has tightened monetary policy too far, too fast and risks tipping the US economy into recession. This culminated in a severe global equity sell-off, which accelerated after the December FED meeting.