Some central banks are pushing monetary policy into the upside down world of negative interest rates, but rather than success they are creating bizarre side effects.
Since the early 2000’s the name ‘Mrs. Watanabe’ has been used to describe yield seeking Japanese retail investors, who were forced to increase their offshore investment risk taking in response to ultra-low interest rates back home.
Following the sharp sell-off in Q4 2018, credit markets globally have performed strongly in 2019. Having seen a big dip, followed by a quick rebound, how are we now left?
Liquidity is one of those things that doesn’t get much focus until it’s too late.
2019 has so far been a stellar year for bond returns globally. Even a simple passive exposure to long dated bonds has delivered handsome profits that far exceed the average yield of those bonds.
Hedonic adaptation is a psychology term that describes the human tendency of reverting to a relatively stable or ‘normal’ state following either positive or negative life changes.
Despite bond yields in many markets getting vanishingly low, inflows to bond funds globally have actually accelerated this year.
With global bond yields back near the low end of recent ranges, it’s an opportune time to revisit a theme that’s relevant to portfolio construction today – the bond vs. equity correlation.
Everyone has an opinion but does anyone really know?
Conventional thinking about bond-equity relationships currently poses a paradox – the resolution to this seeming paradox is the changing bond-equity correlation.