The central bank bar tab

A primary focus for global financial markets in Q4 2018 was the growing fear that the FED has tightened monetary policy too far, too fast and risks tipping the US economy into recession. This culminated in a severe global equity sell-off, which accelerated after the December FED meeting.

Read More

Market inefficiency is a growing opportunity in fixed income

In a theoretically efficient fixed income market, closely related bonds (or derivatives) with similar risk characteristics would always be priced the same. In reality, these prices persistently diverge from each other, which means fixed income markets are inefficient.

Read More

Credit is the Canary

Following last week’s meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED), markets have become increasingly concerned that the FED is making a policy mistake in continuing to increase interest rates.

Read More

QE winners become QT losers

We’ve noted previously that the transition from Quantitative Easing (QE) to Quantitative Tightening (QT) is one of the two important paradigm shifts currently taking place in markets.

Read More